Bank of Canada Rate Announcement Jan 22nd, 2020

Matt Chan • January 22, 2020

The Bank of Canada today maintained its target for the overnight rate at 1 ¾ percent. The Bank Rate is correspondingly 2 percent and the deposit rate is 1 ½ percent.

The global economy is showing signs of stabilization, and some recent trade developments have been positive. However, there remains a high degree of uncertainty and geopolitical tensions have re-emerged, with tragic consequences. The Canadian economy has been resilient but indicators since the October  Monetary Policy Report  (MPR) have been mixed.

Data for Canada indicate that growth in the near term will be weaker, and the output gap wider, than the Bank projected in October. The Bank now estimates growth of 0.3 percent in the fourth quarter of 2019 and 1.3 percent in the first quarter of 2020. Exports fell in late 2019, and business investment appears to have weakened after a strong third quarter. Job creation has slowed and indicators of consumer confidence and spending have been unexpectedly soft. In contrast, residential investment was robust through most of 2019, moderating to a still-solid pace in the fourth quarter.

Some of the slowdown in growth in late 2019 was related to special factors that include strikes, poor weather, and inventory adjustments. The weaker data could also signal that global economic conditions have been affecting Canada’s economy to a greater extent than was predicted. Moreover, during the past year Canadians have been saving a larger share of their incomes, which could signal increased consumer caution. This could dampen consumer spending but help to alleviate financial vulnerabilities at the same time.

Looking ahead, Canadian business investment and exports are expected to contribute modestly to growth, supported by stronger global activity and demand. The Bank is also projecting a pickup in household spending, supported by population and income growth, as well as by the recent federal income tax cut. In its January MPR, the Bank projects the global economy will grow by just over 3 percent in 2020 and 3 ¼ percent in 2021. For Canada, the Bank now forecasts real GDP will grow by 1.6 percent this year and 2 percent in 2021, following 1.6 percent growth in 2019.

While the output gap has widened in recent months, measures of inflation remain around 2 percent. This is consistent with an economy that, until recently, has been operating close to capacity. The Bank expects inflation will stay around the 2 percent target over the projection horizon, with some fluctuations in 2020 from volatility in energy prices. Meanwhile, labour markets in most regions have little slack and wages continue to firm.

In determining the future path for the Bank’s policy interest rate, Governing Council will be watching closely to see if the recent slowdown in growth is more persistent than forecast. In assessing incoming data, the Bank will be paying particular attention to developments in consumer spending, the housing market, and business investment.

Information note

The next scheduled date for announcing the overnight rate target is March 4, 2020. The next full update of the Bank’s outlook for the economy and inflation, including risks to the projection, will be published in the MPR on April 15, 2020.

The remaining announcement dates for 2020 are as follows:

March 4, 2020
April 15, 2020
June 3, 2020
July 15, 2020
September 9, 2020
October 28, 2020
December 9, 2020

CONTACT

Share

RECENT POSTS

What Older Canadians Should Know About Mortgage Financing

By Matthew Chan • October 14, 2026
Retirement doesn’t always mean a mortgage-free life anymore. And that’s okay. Between higher home prices, rising living costs, and longer life expectancy, many Canadians are choosing to retire with a mortgage or refinance later in life to create more flexibility. The goal isn’t perfection. It’s having options that actually support the life you want to live. If you’re thinking about how a mortgage fits into your retirement years, you’re not alone—and you’re not out of options. Why work with an independent mortgage professional? Because retirement financing is not one-size-fits-all. Unlike a single bank, an independent mortgage professional can look across multiple lenders and solutions to find what truly fits your income, equity, and long-term plans—not just what one institution offers. Mortgage options available in retirement Traditional Mortgage Solutions Many retirees still qualify for standard mortgages. Pension income, investment income, and other retirement sources can often be used to support an application. If you have good equity and solid credit, this is often the lowest-cost option. Reverse Mortgages For homeowners 55+, a reverse mortgage can unlock tax-free equity from your home with no monthly payments required. There’s no income verification or medical questions, making it a helpful option for those who want to improve cash flow while staying in their home. Home Equity Line of Credit (HELOC) A HELOC allows you to access your home equity as needed and only pay interest on what you use. Many retirees appreciate the flexibility and like consolidating income and expenses in one place. Private Financing Sometimes life throws a curveball. If timing, income, or credit create challenges, private financing can act as a short-term bridge. It’s not usually the first choice, but it can provide solutions when traditional lenders can’t. If you’re approaching retirement—or already there—and wondering how your mortgage fits into the picture, let’s talk. A clear plan can make retirement feel a lot more secure and a lot less stressful.

How Your Credit Score Impacts Mortgage Rates and Approval

By Matthew Chan • October 7, 2026
What Lenders Mean by “Good Credit” When You Apply for a Mortgage Credit is simply the ability to borrow money today based on the trust that you’ll repay it in the future. When you apply for a mortgage, lenders want proof that you’ve consistently honoured that trust by managing credit responsibly. But what does a good credit history actually look like to a lender? The 2 / 2 / 2 Rule Explained If you’re newer to credit or want a simple way to remember minimum mortgage credit requirements, think of the 2 / 2 / 2 rule: 2 active trade lines Established for at least 2 years With a minimum combined limit of $2,000 This is a common baseline lenders use when assessing credit for mortgage financing. What Counts as a Trade Line? A trade line is any account where credit is extended to you, such as: A credit card A line of credit A car loan A personal or installment loan Each trade line reports your payment history to the credit bureau and contributes to your credit score. For a trade line to be considered active , it must: Have been used at least once, and Show activity at least once every three months Why Time Matters Lenders want to see that you’ve managed credit responsibly over time , not just recently. Using two trade lines consistently for at least two years helps demonstrate stable financial habits and reliability. Understanding Credit Limits vs. Balances The credit limit is what matters—not the balance. For example: A $1,000 credit card + a $2,500 line of credit = $3,500 total limit This meets the minimum requirement You do not need to carry a balance to build credit. In fact, the best approach is to: Use your credit regularly Pay it off in full each month (for credit cards) Make all loan payments on time If your lender offers a credit limit increase and you’re managing credit well, it’s often a good idea to accept it. Higher limits—used responsibly—can strengthen your credit profile. A Simple Way to Build Credit Automatically One effective strategy is to: Put recurring bills on your credit card Set up an automatic transfer to pay the balance in full every month Automation helps build positive credit history without requiring constant attention—just be sure to monitor your accounts to ensure everything runs smoothly. What About Credit Scores? Yes, credit scores matter—but they’re not the whole story. If you: Have two active trade lines Established for two years With at least $2,000 in total limits And no missed payments …your credit score will generally take care of itself. That said, it’s still wise to review your credit report occasionally to check for errors or unfamiliar accounts. Final Thoughts If you’re thinking about buying a home in the next couple of years, now is the perfect time to review your credit and make sure you’re on track. Small adjustments today can make a big difference when it’s time to apply for a mortgage. If you’d like help reviewing your credit or understanding how it affects your mortgage options, feel free to connect anytime. I’d be happy to walk through it with you and help you plan with confidence.

How to Finance Renovations When Buying a Home in Canada

By Matthew Chan • September 30, 2026
Can’t Find the Right Home After You’re Pre-Approved? There’s Another Option The best place to start any home purchase is with a mortgage pre-approval. It gives you clarity around your budget and lets you shop with confidence. But what happens when you’ve been pre-approved, you know where you want to live—and nothing suitable fits your price range? This is a common challenge, especially for first-time homebuyers. Before buyer fatigue sets in, it may be worth considering a different approach: buying a home that needs work and financing the renovations as part of your mortgage . What Is a Purchase Plus Improvements Mortgage? A purchase plus improvements program allows you to buy a property and include the cost of approved renovations directly in your mortgage. This can be a great solution if: You can’t find a move-in-ready home within budget You’re open to renovations You want to customize the home from the start It opens up more options and can help you get into a location or property that would otherwise be out of reach. How the Process Works While the idea is straightforward, the process itself is structured and requires planning. Here’s a high-level overview: Renovation quotes are required upfront You’ll need detailed quotes for the work you want completed before final mortgage approval. Renovations must add value The lender must be satisfied that the improvements will increase the property’s value accordingly. Funds are reimbursed, not advanced You pay for the renovations initially. Once the work is completed and verified by an appraiser, the lender reimburses you and adds the cost to your mortgage. With the right guidance, this process is very manageable—but it’s important to understand the steps before committing. Is This Program Right for You? Purchase plus improvements isn’t for everyone. Buying a home is already a big undertaking, and adding renovations can increase stress—especially if timelines, budgets, or contractors become challenging. That said, if you’re financially prepared and like the idea of shaping the home to fit your needs, this program can be an excellent way to get more value and flexibility from your purchase. Final Thoughts If you’re struggling to find the right home after being pre-approved, you may not need to lower your expectations—you may just need a different strategy. If you’d like to explore whether a purchase plus improvements mortgage makes sense for you, feel free to connect. I’d be happy to walk you through the process and outline exactly what this option would look like in your situation.